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世界银行预测,随着形势的改善,越南2020年GDP将增长2.8%

2020-7-31 11:24

 

河内,7月30日(新华社)——世界银行在周四发布的一份报告中预测,如果世界形势逐渐好转,越南的经济活动将在2020年下半年反弹,导致今年增长2.8%,2021年增长6.8%。


用更少的有利的外部条件,越南的经济增长率将只有1.5%在2020年和2021年的4.5%,世界银行在其最新的一年两次的经济报告说在越南,指出国家面临的主要挑战将寻找新的增长动力,巩固预期的复苏。


根据这份报告,由于国内外持续存在的不确定性,作为中国经济增长传统来源的国外需求和私人消费不太可能很快恢复到危机前的水平。


世界银行越南局代理局长Stefanie Stallmeister在周四的新闻发布会上表示:“为了适应新常态,政策制定者必须找到新的方式,在弥补传统增长动力减弱的同时,应对日益加剧的不平等。”


报告还建议补充措施避免COVID-19经济陷阱,回到其历史轨迹的快速和包容性增长,包括逐步和仔细去除流动限制国际旅行,加速现有的公共投资计划的执行来提高国内需求,并提供有针对性的支持私营部门,特别是受灾最严重的产业如旅游业和制造业出口。


根据越南国家统计局的数据,今年上半年越南的经济增长率为1.81%,是2011-2020年期间六个月的最低增长率。

 

HANOI, July 30 (Xinhua) -- If the world situation gradually improves, Vietnam's economic activity should rebound in the second half of 2020, leading to a growth of 2.8 percent this year and 6.8 percent in 2021, the World Bank forecast in a report released Thursday.

With less favorable external conditions, Vietnam's economy will expand by only 1.5 percent in 2020 and 4.5 percent in 2021, the World Bank said in its latest bi-annual economic report on Vietnam, noting that the main challenge facing the country will be finding new drivers of growth to consolidate the expected recovery.

According to the report, foreign demand and private consumption, the country's traditional sources of growth, are unlikely to return to their pre-crisis levels soon amid continued uncertainties in home and abroad.

"To adapt to the new normal, policymakers must find new ways to compensate for the weakening of the traditional drivers of growth while managing rising inequality," Stefanie Stallmeister, World Bank Acting Country Director for Vietnam, commented in a press release on Thursday.

The report also suggests complementary measures for the country to avoid the COVID-19 economic trap and return to its historical trajectory of rapid and inclusive growth, including gradually and carefully removing mobility restrictions on international travel, accelerating the execution of existing public investment program to enhance domestic demand, and providing targeted support to the private sector, particularly to the hardest-hit industries such as tourism and manufacturing exports.

Vietnam posted economic growth of 1.81 percent in the first half of this year, the lowest six-month growth rate in the 2011-2020 period, according to its General Statistics Office.

 

来自: xinhua